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Barbados Meteorological Services
Charnocks ChCh
Weather Discussion
http://www.BarbadosWeather.org
Initial to 4 days discussion based on Satellite imagery,BMS Radar composite,S.P.I.E products,GEM, GFS, WW3, UKMET and BMS WRF modeling, surface and upper air observations, Satellite derived products.
DATE: 20250211 PERIOD: Evening

Eastern Caribbean

A HIGH WIND ADVISORY, A SMALL CRAFT WARNING AND A HIGH SURF ADVISORY ARE IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS. THESE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR MUCH OF THIS WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND. THE PUBLIC SHOULD CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE BMS FORECAST FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

Today: The Atlantic high-pressure system remained the dominant feature across Barbados and the Eastern Caribbean. Furthermore, a relatively dry and stable atmosphere was present as atmospheric moisture was mostly capped below the 850mb level. As a result, mostly sunny skies were reported across Barbados and the island chain, with only a few brief light isolated showers experienced. Here in Barbados at the BMS, no measurable rainfall was recorded between 6am and 6pm, while a maximum of 1.0mm was measured across the island.

Farther south, the Atlantic high pressure system, along with a relatively dry atmosphere dominated conditions across Trinidad and Tobago, leading to generally sunny skies. Meanwhile, across the Guianas, low-level convergence coupled with adequate low to mid-level moisture generated partly cloudy to occasionally cloudy skies with brief scattered showers.

Winds across the region were moderate to windy, peaking at 26 knots in St. Lucia and 24 knots here at the BMS. A gust of 31 knots near showers was reported in St. Lucia. Sea conditions were moderate to rough in open water, with swells 2.0m to 3.0m.

Western Caribbean

Today: The Atlantic high-pressure system was dominant across the central and western Caribbean. A dry and subsident pattern across the region was responsible for mostly sunny skies. However, isolated brief light showers were observed across portions of the Greater Antilles, as a few shallow low-level clouds traversed the region.
Eastern Caribbean Outlook

Tonight: No significant change in conditions is expected across Barbados and the eastern Caribbean as the Atlantic high-pressure system remains dominant. Occasionally cloudy skies with a few showers and gusty winds are expected, mainly over the northern half of the region as shallow low-level clouds continue to traverse the region.

Barbados Forecast Max/Min Temps: 26/22.

Wednesday: No significant change is expected across Barbados and the region. However, as the Atlantic high-pressure system continues to strengthen, wind speeds are expected to increase further, maintaining windy conditions with higher gusts accompanying shower activity.

Barbados Forecast Max/Min Temps: 30/22.

Thursday: The Atlantic high-pressure system will remain the dominant feature across Barbados and the island chain and no significant change is forecast. However, during the night, an increase in low-level moisture and instability will begin to affect the region generating cloudy skies and occasional scattered showers.

Barbados Forecast Max/Min Temps: 30/21.

Friday: The previously mentioned low-level moisture and instability will gradually move away from the region leading to improving conditions, initially over the Leewards and subsequently the remainder of the island chain. During the night, an influx of low-level moisture will begin to affect Barbados and the Windwards triggering some shower activity.

Barbados Forecast Max/Min Temps: 30/21.

Saturday: The Atlantic high-pressure system will remain dominant across the region, however low-level moisture patches will continue to traverse the region. As a result, no significant change in weather conditions from the previous day is expected.

Barbados Forecast Max/Min Temps: 30/22.
Western Caribbean Outlook

Tonight: A ridge pattern will be dominant across the central and western Caribbean. However, surface to low-level perturbations within the trade-wind flow, will trigger occasional cloudiness with some passing light to moderate showers.

Wednesday: No significant change is forecast across the region.

Thursday: No significant change is forecast across the region.

Friday: An area of low-level moisture and instability is expected to move across the central Caribbean, triggering occasional showers and cloudy skies. Farther west, a ridge will maintain fair to partly cloudy skies over most of the area. However, a frontal boundary is expected to affect the extreme northern Bahamas.

Saturday: The frontal boundary over the extreme northern Bahamas is expected to weaken as it retreats northwards. Meanwhile a ridge pattern will be dominant across the central and western Caribbean. However, surface to low-level perturbations within the trade-wind flow, will trigger occasional cloudiness with some passing light to moderate showers.
Meteorologist Andrew Daniel