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Extended Forecast

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Barbados Meteorological Services
Charnocks ChCh
Weather Discussion
http://www.BarbadosWeather.org
Initial to 4 days discussion based on Satellite imagery,BMS Radar composite,S.P.I.E products,GEM, GFS, WW3, UKMET and BMS WRF modeling, surface and upper air observations, Satellite derived products.
DATE: 20260429 PERIOD: Evening

Eastern Caribbean

A surface to mid-level ridge pattern was the dominant feature across Barbados and the eastern Caribbean. Perturbations within the ridge flow triggered occasional cloudy skies and light passing showers. In addition, moisture associated with an upper-level Jet stream produced a blanket of upper-level cloud and enhanced a few showers across the Leeward Islands. 7.2 mm of rainfall was the maximum recorded across the island, with no rainfall being measured here at the BMS.

Further south, across Trinidad and Tobago and the Guianas, a surface to mid-level ridge pattern was also dominant, producing mostly fair weather conditions. Across the Guianas, low-level convergence triggered cloudy skies, light to moderate showers, and thunderstorms.

Winds across the region were generally light, peaking at 16 knots in St. Lucia and 13 knots here at Charnocks in Christ Church. Seas were slight to moderate in open water with swell ranging between 1.5 and 2.0m.
Western Caribbean

A confluent pattern coupled with an upper-level Jet stream triggered cloudy to overcast skies, light to heavy showers, periods of rain, and thunderstorms across Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands. In addition, an upper-level trough enhanced low-level perturbations across Cuba and Jamaica trigging cloudy skies, light to moderate showers, and thunderstorms. Elsewhere, a ridge pattern was the dominant feature, and mostly fair conditions were observed.
Eastern Caribbean Outlook

Tonight: A surface-to-mid-level ridge pattern will be the dominant feature across Barbados and the eastern Caribbean. Low-level perturbations within the ridge flow will trigger light showers. However, adequate moisture coupled with a favourable upper-level Jet stream is likely to enhance shower activity across the Leewards, triggering scattered moderate showers, periods of light to moderate rain, and possible isolated thunderstorms.

Barbados Forecast Max/Min Temps: 27/23.

Thursday: No significant change in weather conditions compared to the previous day is expected.

Barbados Forecast Max/Min Temps: 31/23.

Friday: Model data suggests some drying out of the mid to upper-level atmosphere over the Leeward Islands, allowing for conditions to gradually improve. Elsewhere, mostly dry and stable weather conditions will persist.

Barbados Forecast Max/Min Temps: 31/23.

Saturday: No significant change in weather conditions compared to the previous day is expected.

Barbados Forecast Max/Min Temps: 31/23.

Sunday: The surface to mid-level ridge pattern will remain dominant across Barbados and the eastern Caribbean. Perturbations within the ridge flow will trigger a few passing showers.

Barbados Forecast Max/Min Temps: 31/23.
Western Caribbean Outlook

Tonight: A confluent pattern coupled with an upper-level Jet stream is likely to trigger scattered light to moderate showers, periods of rain, and possible isolated thunderstorms across Hispaniola, Puerto Rico, and the Virgin Islands. Elsewhere, a ridge pattern will be dominant, allowing for mostly dry and stable weather conditions.

Thursday: No significant change in weather conditions compared to the previous day is expected. However, by midmorning, a prefrontal trough will drift across the northern Bahamas, triggering occasionally cloudy skies and a few passing showers.

Friday: The aforementioned trough will propagate eastward away from the Bahamas, allowing for fair weather conditions over that area. Otherwise, no significant change in weather conditions compared to the previous day is expected.

Saturday: Surface to low-level moisture will linger across the Virgin Islands through to Hispaniola, triggering a few passing showers. Across the remainder of the central Caribbean, a light wind regime coupled with diurnal heating and adequate moisture is likely to produce afternoon localized showers and possible thunderstorms.

Sunday: Model guidance suggests a frontal boundary will trigger cloudy skies, light to moderate showers, and possible thunderstorms across the northern Bahamas. A light wind regime, along with daytime heating, will trigger afternoon localised thunderstorm activity across the Greater Antilles.
Meteorologist Junior Brathwaite