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Barbados Meteorological Services
Charnocks ChCh
Weather Discussion
http://www.BarbadosWeather.org
Initial to 4 days discussion based on Satellite imagery,BMS Radar composite,S.P.I.E products,GEM, GFS, WW3, UKMET and BMS WRF modeling, surface and upper air observations, Satellite derived products.
DATE: 20190325 PERIOD: Morning

Eastern Caribbean

A surface to high level Atlantic high pressure system remained the dominant feature across Barbados and the eastern Caribbean during the night. Subsequently, an associated surface to low level confluent pattern on the southern periphery of the said high pressure system, was responsible for maintaining occasionally cloudy skies with scattered showers being experienced over Barbados and most of the islands of the central and northern Windwards. While over the Leeward islands conditions were mostly fair as a relatively dry airmass lingered over that area.
Over the twin island republic of Trinidad and Tobago and the Guianas, mostly fair weather conditions were experienced as a surface to low level ridge pattern dominated conditions. A relatively dry airmass also lingered over that area.

Light winds ranging between 4 to 14 were observed across the Guianas, the extreme southern Windwards and the Leeward islands. While more brisk winds ranging between 8 to 22 knots were observed over the Windward islands. Seas conditions remained slight to moderate in open water with swells peaking near 2.0m.
Western Caribbean

A surface to mid level trough system anchored over central Bahamas and extending southward through the Windward Passage generated cloudy skies and some scattered showers over central and eastern Bahamas, eastern Cuba, Hispaniola and Jamaica. Model data also indicated a surface to low level trough between Panama and Colombia which produced cloudy skies, with some scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Elsewhere, mostly fair weather conditions prevailed.
Eastern Caribbean Outlook

Today: Surface to low level convergence along the southern and southwestern periphery of the Atlantic high pressure system will generate occasional cloudiness with some brief early morning showers over Barbados and the eastern Caribbean. Improvement will be expected after mid morning.

Tuesday: No significant change in weather conditions from the previous day is anticipated.

Wednesday: After some brief early morning showers, mostly fair weather and breezy conditions will prevail.

Thursday: The Atlantic high pressure system will maintain its dominance across the eastern Caribbean. Surface to low level convergence along the southern and southwestern periphery of the said high pressure system will trigger some brief early morning showers. Otherwise, after mid morning mostly fair weather and breezy conditions will prevail.
Western Caribbean Outlook

Today: A surface to mid level trough system anchored over central Bahamas and extending southward through the Windward Passage is likely to generate cloudy skies and some scattered showers over central and eastern Bahamas, eastern Cuba, Hispaniola and Jamaica. Model data is indicating a surface to low level trough between Panama and Colombia which is expected to initiate cloudy skies, with some scattered showers and the possibility of isolated thunderstorms. Elsewhere, mostly fair weather conditions will be anticipated.

Tuesday: Low level moisture embedded in the surface to low level easterly trades is likely to trigger a few isolated showers across the Greater Antilles. Elsewhere, no significant change in weather conditions from the previous day is anticipated.

Wednesday: A weak trough system extending from near northern Bahamas through central Cuba and ending over Honduras is expected to spread a few scattered showers across the aforementioned areas. Elsewhere, mostly fair weather conditions will prevailed.

Thursday: The weak trough system over the Bahamas will continue to weaken as model data is indicating inadequate moisture associated with this feature. However, a few scattered showers can be expected across the vicinity of the Windward Passage due to surface convergence. Elsewhere, no significant change in weather conditions from the previous day is anticipated.
Meteorologist David Harding