Weather Update:


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Barbados Meteorological Services
Charnocks ChCh
Weather Discussion
http://www.BarbadosWeather.org
Initial to 4 days discussion based on Satellite imagery,BMS Radar composite,S.P.I.E products,GEM, GFS, WW3, UKMET and BMS WRF modeling, surface and upper air observations, Satellite derived products.
DATE: 20200217 PERIOD: Morning

Eastern Caribbean

Relatively minor surface to low level instability remained over Barbados and the eastern Caribbean during the night. Skies were generally partly cloudy while shower activity remained sparse.
Further south, over Trinidad and Tobago and the Guianas, similar conditions were experienced.
Winds remained light to brisk ranging from 4knots to 22knots, with St.lucia reporting a gust of 37 knots. Seas were moderate in open water with swells peaking near 2.5m.
Western Caribbean

A weak frontal boundary generated cloudy skies and a few scattered showers over Free Port and close vicinity of the extreme northern Bahamas. While weak surface to low level instability extending from the Mona Passage through to the Windward Passage produced cloudy skies and a few brief showers. Elsewhere, the high pressure system remained the dominant feature allowing for mostly fair weather.
Eastern Caribbean Outlook

Today: The mid level low which was poised just west of the northern Leewards over the past 48 hours will move north-eastward across the island chain allowing for less mid-level instability over the area. However, a few surface to low level perturbations will move across the island chain generating an increase in low-level moisture which will result in partly cloudy skies and some scattered showers.

Tuesday: No significant change in weather conditions from previous day is expected.

Wednesday: Surface to low level confluencing will form over the island chain. As a result, an increase in surface to low level moisture will initiate cloudy skies and scattered showers. A short improvement will be noticeable by late evening as this feature moves over the eastern Caribbean.

Thursday: Mostly fair conditions will remain across the island chain during the morning session. However, after midday surface to low level perturbations will drift over the island chain bringing an increase in low-level moisture which will result in cloudy skies and scattered showers.
Western Caribbean Outlook

Today: A surface to mid level high pressure system will be the dominant feature. In addition, a relatively dry mid to upper level atmosphere will be noticeable over the western Caribbean. However, low level moisture embedded in the surface to low level easterly through southeasterly trades will trigger a few brief showers.

Tuesday: No significant change in weather conditions from previous day is expected.

Wednesday: Weak surface to low level instability across the Greater Antilles will trigger a few scattered showers. Otherwise, mostly fair weather conditions will prevail as the high pressure system remains dominant over the area.

Thursday: Mostly fair weather conditions will prevail as the high pressure system remains dominant over the area. However, with the light wind regime across the Greater Antilles, some localized showers can be expected.
Meteorologist David Harding